by emptywheel
This is our Director of National Intelligence, talking about the threat of Al Qaeda growing stronger in an area nominally controlled by our ally Pakistan:
After the 31st of May we were in extremis because now we have significantly less capability. And meantime, the community, before I came back, had been working on a National Intelligence Estimate on terrorist threat to the homeland. And the key elements of the terrorist threat to the homeland, there were four key elements, a resilient determined adversary with senior leadership willing to die for the cause, requiring a place to train and develop, think of it as safe haven, they had discovered that in the border area between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Now the Pakistani government is pushing and pressing and attempting to do something about it, but by and large they have areas of safe haven. So leadership that can adapt, safe haven, intermediate leadership, these are think of them as trainers, facilitators, operational control guys. And the fourth part is recruits. They have them, they've taken them. This area is referred to as the FATA, federally administered tribal areas, they have the recruits and now the objective is to get them into the United States for mass casualties to conduct terrorist operations to achieve mass casualties. All of those four parts have been carried out except the fourth. They have em, but they haven't been successful. One of the major tools for us to keep them out is the FISA program, a significant tool and we're going the wrong direction. [my emphasis]
This is the urgent new reason McConnell gave to Congress for refusing to allow the FISC to oversee the minimization procedures on wiretapping done in the United States.
Now, first of all, Al Qaeda didn't just "now" "discover" the tribal lands, though we may have when we let Bin Laden escape to them. Al Qaeda and the Taliban knew and used it, well before they retreated to it as their primary safe haven ... over five years ago.
More importantly, is anyone as concerned as I am that our Director of National Intelligence says, "one of the major tools for us to keep them out is the FISA program"? After all, this is a guy who oversees all aspects of intelligence, including human intelligence, satellite sigint (after all, there are oh so many fiber optic cables laid in the tribal lands), and covert operations. Not to mention data collection from international air travel, military intelligence, and financial operations. But DNI McConnell is relying on needle-in-a-haystack wiretapping to keep us safe?
And, while it's not McConnell's fault (it's Dick Cheney's), tell me how it makes you feel that our DNI is saying, of an ostensible ally, that, "Now the Pakistani government is pushing and
pressing and attempting to do something about it, but by and large they
have areas of safe haven." Because I sure have a vague memory of saying over and over that our first task in the war on terror is to get Pakistan right. Heck, the non-serious left and people like Richard Clarke have been saying, for even longer, that Pakistan and Afghanistan should have taken precedence over Iraq. But here our DNI is, telling us about this urgent everything-old-is-new-again threat in Pakistan, pinpointing the source of any terrorist threat to our country.
And he basically shrugs it off.
McConnell's interview was designed to take the focus off of some deeper issue. When he starts spouting the old standby lines that are obviously written by the WH and have nothing to do with reality, it is a dead giveaway.
My personal belief is that the whole FISA cram-down earlier this month was to add an aura of authorization to what the administration is doing in the name of protecting us from terror -- which is anything they want to do. What defines a "terrorist"? It could be anyone who opposes or disagrees with anything this administration wants, in which case -- they are already here!
Posted by: Sojourner | August 23, 2007 at 09:43
If McConnell really were trying to get Pakistan right, would any one be able to tell? That was one of the least articulate explanations of... well, anything, that I've ever read.
These guys should just stick with what they know: "I don't recall."
Posted by: Kagro X | August 23, 2007 at 10:50
Kagro X -Remember, they need days and days of training with coaches to even get the "I don't recall" right.
EW and all - As I have admitted many times, I am not that much of a computer type techie; but if they are worried about communication into and out of Pakistan and Afghanistan, can't they scoop it all up there, instead of having to worry about it here?
Posted by: bmaz | August 23, 2007 at 11:59
Why can the government, using their satellites, read the headlines over my shoulder of a paper that I'm reading, but they can't find or track the terrorists in these "FATA" tribal lands? Isn't anybody in this country starting to wonder why?
McConnell makes it sound like that Pakistan/Afghanistan border area story is something new. Wha??
Posted by: joanneleon | August 23, 2007 at 12:17
Of a most interesting note:
My BoldJest so we're real clear here, you folks using all those cellphones here in the US of A, the government can and does listen to them. No warrant is required!
How can that be you say? Folks, cellphones ain't nothing more than radio transmissions. You know, just like the kind you can pick up on that there car radio.
And the NSA, which got its beginning in the early 1950s, was the premier collector and eavesdropper of all the radio spectrum worldwide.
Enter today's NSA with its high-end computing technology, and the combination of almost-lightspeed hardware with highly sophisticated database software, and you got yourself not only a collector of massive amounts of data, but also a one-stop-shop for all other government agencies (Federal, State and Local) for cellphone eavesdropping requests.
Wanna talk on your cellphone about stuff like buying that gram of coke, buying that fully automatic silenced Uzi, or jest talking about how to make a steal on that insider stock trading tip you jest got?
You ain't gonna be the only one listening! And it is totally legal eavesdropping, doncha know?
And you thought the big deal was the government eavesdropping on foreign communications. Ha!
Red herring anyone? I hear it tastes delicious!
Posted by: Mad Dogs | August 23, 2007 at 12:29
Any statement made that yadda yadda ons about the threats to "the homeland" is prima facie propaganda.
I don't live in "the homeland." I live in the United States of America - US is fine, America is fine, "the homeland" is for lying propagandists.
Interesting that McConnell doesn't see something like having Muhammad Naeem Noor Khan wandering around - or, for that matter, the elections leak about Noor Khan - as a problem. BTW - don't they mostly have to use sat phones in those mountain regions?
Posted by: Mary | August 23, 2007 at 12:45
Mad Dogs, that jumped out at me last night, too, but for a different reason. Satellite communications are wireless -- and there is nothing to prevent the government from monitoring the up-link or down-link. If I am not mistaken, the bulk of foreign data and telephone communications is now done by satellite.
I would also like to know what the definition is for "wire." In the traditional sense, the wire is the metallic conductor over which electrical current flows. Data is transmitted through very low electrical impulses. However, the main transmission media these days is through fibre optic cable, which are not made of metal (although they have one or more metal jackets). So, I have to wonder, does the definition for "wire" include fibre optics?
What I am driving at is that there is very little limitation on what the government can do...
Posted by: Sojourner | August 23, 2007 at 12:52
Sojourner - It is my experience that courts treat fiber optic cable as "Wire". Granted, these instances were not NSA type cases, but still, they have been very consistent in that treatment.
Posted by: bmaz | August 23, 2007 at 12:56
Good point EW – sophisticated terrorists are not going to use the telephone or email anymore – if they ever did. If McConnell thinks this is “major”, then he’s right in line with the rest of the dipshit cronies Bush likes to hire.
Posted by: johno | August 23, 2007 at 13:01
Hmmmmpf! So, what do the courts know? ;-)
Posted by: Sojourner | August 23, 2007 at 13:07
I agree with you that Pakistan needs to get right - disagree on the methods though. Like India, Pakistan is a figment of the British Empire created solely for the sake of expediency in the early 20th century. The division did not consider the historically distinct and independent regions and peoples within Pakistan - thus, like Iraq's Kurds, Pakistan encompasses Waziristan and the fiercely independent minded Baluchistan (whose legendary 80 year old leader was recently assassinated, reportedly with help from U.S. forces) and where Bin Laden is believed to be hiding. The natural enemy of these tribal leaders is Islamabad, not the U.S. By being tied to the assassination of their leaders, and making a deal with the devil who is Musharaff, the U.S. has made enemies of the people in areas like Baluchistan. Therfore they grant Osama asylum. Wanna end the madrasses? Help these oppressed people and those in Kashmir to achieve true independence from Islamabad, then they'll have a lot less to be pissed off about.
Posted by: spoonful | August 23, 2007 at 13:10
I really must emphasize these were mostly not intercept/security/fourth amendment cases. Mostly construction cases I have been involved in or seen. However, I have seen at least one criminal case where tapping of a fiber optic cable was deemed the equivalent of tapping a wire on a motion to suppress determination.
Posted by: bmaz | August 23, 2007 at 13:14
Folks
The sat sigint that McConnell admits to is almost certainly the stuff that Russ Tice as talking about. He was always pretty clear that the stuff that was going on with telecom had been going on with satellites for some time (probably back to when McConnell was head of NSA).
So the problem with McConnell is that he is so used to this stuff via satellite that he doesn't see what the problem is with it via telecom lines. And Mad Dog is right--we ought to be concerned about both.
Posted by: emptywheel | August 23, 2007 at 13:52
Rather than focussing on the medium of any particular communication (cellphones, emails, letters, smoke signals, whatever), the overriding judicial and legislative determination should be whether there was a reasonable expectation of privacy in the communication, of which the chosen medium would be a very important factor, but not necessarily conclusive. For example, if a certain Maine Senator were to make public speeches in the course of an election campaign, there is no reasonable expectation of privacy in her remarks, and they would be open to "interception". On the other hand, just because a certain medium can be easily monitored, such as email or cellphone frequencies, and cannot be placed in a sealed envelope should not be a "privacy-free" zone. The beauty of the 4th amendment is that it covers all the possible changes in technology that have occurred since 1787 in the elastic phrase "probable cause". Should not be anything too complicated about it.
Posted by: Ishmael | August 23, 2007 at 13:59
I gotta agree with bmaz on the definition of "wire" for eavesdropping purposes. Metal, glass, plastic, whatever. It is all "wire" for the legal community's purposes.
Having worked as a computer geek for almost the last 30 years, and 15 of those as a specialist in computer data communications (yup, that be Networking stuff), copper, fiber, satcomm stuff has long been the unparalleled expertise domain of the US Government, particularly the NSA.
When AT&T was in its original form (not split apart into Baby Bells), the folks at their Bell Labs research entity worked "hand-in-glove" with NSA on communications intercept technology and those Magic Elves at Bell Labs had no peer anywhere in the world.
As to the "leaks" of what's been going on vis a vis FISA stuff, Mikey McConnell ain't even showing us the tip of the iceberg. More like a sliver of ice from same iceberg.
The stuff we don't know about our Intelligence agencies would not only boggle the mind, but quite probably turn your hair grey.
Posted by: Mad Dogs | August 23, 2007 at 14:25
Mad Dogs, my hair is already grey... actually, white!
Posted by: Sojourner | August 23, 2007 at 14:32
Ishmael - I think there is a lot to be said for what you said. Man, that is a circular statement isn't it? At any rate, it is not cut and dried that there is no expectation of privacy in cell phone conversations. There was actually a case, in Maryland I think but I am not sure, where someone overhead, by some random glitch, the cell phone conversation containing a nefarious discussion between a couple of political operatives or politicians. The person overhearing it taped it and made it public. The court factored in "reasonable expectation of privacy" into the ruling against the third party that heard and recorded.
Posted by: bmaz | August 23, 2007 at 14:37
Mad Dogs and Sojourner - What hair" I ain't got no stinkin hair left.
Posted by: bmaz | August 23, 2007 at 14:38
Froomkin notices you, EW!
(Officially, my hair is grey. In practice it tends to look blonde.)
Posted by: P J Evans | August 23, 2007 at 15:28
Must have been the (brownish reddish, still-plentiful) hair.
Posted by: emptywheel | August 23, 2007 at 16:37
Oh, rub it in sister. Thanks a rot!
Posted by: bmaz | August 23, 2007 at 16:43
BMAZ, just console yourself with the thought that you rubbed it all out pulling late nights and writing in-depth analyses about Bush and Cheney and their wrong-doing...
Posted by: Sojourner | August 23, 2007 at 17:01
I think the difference between wire and wireless is that wireless uses a very public medium, i.e. is broadcast, while the wire probably belongs to private corporations. You need permission to "trespass" onto the wire. Fiber is equivalent to wire in not being a public broadcast medium. Some dictionary somewhere probably already accepts glass wire as valid English.
Posted by: turtlens | August 23, 2007 at 18:24