by emptywheel
Byron York must fancy himself the next Mary Matalin, Republican stooge turned book editor with zero judgment.
The Wilsons then began talking to Simon and Schuster, but in the interim, Patrick Fitzgerald sent out word that he did not intend to indict Karl Rove. Even with New York publishers who are avidly on the side of anyone willing to attack the Bush administration, that news did some damage to the Plame proposal. The value of her book, such as it was, was that it would tell the story of the human costs of a conspiracy that went straight to the top of the U.S. government. A Rove indictment would have been a great blessing for her book proposal; the absence of such an indictment was a great loss.
And if there are no further indictments in the case — and it certainly seems that Fitzgerald, by sending word to Rove and to Robert Novak that their parts in it were over, is winding down rather than gearing up — then the conspiracy scenario that underlay the Plame book proposal, and indeed all of Joseph Wilson's public appearances, appears to be falling apart. How does one keep that alive, at least through a seven-figure book deal and a few more speeches? Well, a lawsuit wouldn't be a bad idea.
Matalin, of course, is known for paying Mary Cheney a $1 million advance for a book that sold mere thousands of copies. Maybe it's just that conservatives don't read enough books, so they can't judge the value of them.
There are lots of reasons why York is wrong about Plame's book. People like spy stories. People like stories from those chased out of public service by the Bush Administration--which seem to do well even in the absence of indictments related to their complaint. And most of all, there's the fact that Plame is a beautiful and poised ex-spy who, Jim Marcinkowski tells us--has frightening skill with an AK-47. The press is dying for a story like Valerie Plame. The press is going to sell this book, even without a lawsuit.
But maybe Byron's poor judgment just comes from a larger inability to read. He asserts that:
And if there are no further indictments in the case — and it certainly seems that Fitzgerald, by sending word to Rove and to Robert Novak that their parts in it were over, is winding down rather than gearing up
Both Novak and Rove were quite clear--their part in this investigation is over. They've never said the investigation was over, which I'm sure old spin-meisters like Rove and Novak would have said, had they had the opportunity.
Now maybe Byron, the right's second most acclaimed expert on this after Tom Maguire, simply has missed the last three months of discovery relating to Libby's trial. You know, the part where Fitzgerald keeps revealing more and more details of Cheney's involvement in this? And maybe Byron isn't any good at math, either, because it sure seems like Rove and Novak haven't said the investigation was over, and it sure seems like Fitzgerald keeps showing us evidence that goes beyond a perjury indictment. 2 + 2 = Cheney and Libby in ongoing trouble.
But you know what? I think Byron is being willfully dumb here. Otherwise, why would he trot out the old Barbara Comstock talking point, suggesting that Fitzgerald was out of control (and contradicting his prior paragraph by admitting the investigation is ongoing)?
The bigger question in all this involves Fitzgerald. Remember that everything we are learning now, he has known for years. For example, he apparently knew who Robert Novak's sources were by January 2004, less than two months after he was appointed. Yet he continued with the case — indeed, continues with it to this day — for reasons that are not clear. He set a terrible precedent for the use of waivers in forcing reporters to testify or face jail. And all of it appears to have happened after he learned that the main players in the case had not violated the Intelligence Identities Protection Act or any other national security law.
At least he didn't make claims about Fitzgerald's big spending, having been smacked down by Christy over that once already. A few more like that Christy, and maybe he'll learn to read something beyond Republican talking points.
But Byron still seems to be forgetting a bunch of things. He says everything we're learning now, Fitzgerald has known for years. Well, um, so have we, at least with respect to Novak's "revelations" this week. He doesn't seem to remember that there are "main players" in this case beyond Karl Rove and Bob Novak. And he seems to have forgotten what we learned when. (He also seems to think the span of time between December 30 and January 12 is just shy of two months, but then I've already shown that Byron doesn't have much aptitude for math.)
Well, let's see, Byron. Here are some things Fitzgerald learned after January 2004:
- Karl Rove leaked Plame's identity to Matt Cooper and somehow all evidence of that conversation disappeared, an event that has direct bearing on an IIPA violation (July 2005)
- Scooter Libby and Judy Miller chatted on June 23, in a meeting he didn't reveal to the prosecutors, and Libby raised the issue of Plame working for the CIA, an event that has direct bearing on an IIPA violation (October 2005)
- Bob Luskin was tipped off by Vivnovka that Cooper would identify Rove as his source--and only then did Rove start testifying about his conversation (October 2005)
And all that's before Fitzgerald received 250 pages of email in February 2006. It has taken the White House two and a half years to comply with the FBI's subpoenas. Why shouldn't Fitzgerald get two and a half years after he finally gets all the evidence?
“Karl Rove leaked Plame's identity to Matt Cooper and somehow all evidence of that conversation disappeared….”
I assume you’re talking about the fact that Matt Cooper’s contemporaneous notes and memo to his editor had no mention of either “Plame” or “Wilson’s wife”.
Oh, I’m sorry. It’s that reading comprehension deficit of mine again. You were referring to things Fitz knew in 2004. Fitz only learned that Cooper’s notes and email didn’t reflect his testimony a few weeks ago, just prior to him inexplicably dropping Rove from the investigation.
This is going to take a good deal more critical thinking to figure out what happened.
Posted by: jwest | July 15, 2006 at 10:20
Karl Rove leaked Plame's identity to Matt Cooper and somehow all evidence of that conversation disappeared….”
I assume you’re talking about the fact that Matt Cooper’s contemporaneous notes and memo to his editor had no mention of either “Plame” or “Wilson’s wife”.
You really are having difficulties with your reading comprehension. Cooper DID mention Wilson's wife in his contemporaneous email to his editor immediately after his conversation with Rove.
You seem to be confused. Libby's lawyer said that Cooper's email to his editor (not his notes) after his conversation with Libby (not Rove) didn't mention Wilson's wife.
Libby has testified to telling Cooper. Cooper has testified that Libby confirmed. I think we can safely say they talked about Plame.
Posted by: pollyusa | July 15, 2006 at 11:48
Why does Mary Cheney's book deal remind me of Nixon-spy Lucy Anne Goldberg's son Jonah?
Posted by: kim | July 15, 2006 at 11:56
Wow, jwest, you can't even get the most elementary facts about the case straight. All those echoes in the chamber must be confusing you. It's rather remarkable.
Posted by: Jeff | July 15, 2006 at 12:28
Jeff & EW,
I responded here on Novak, would like to hear your take.
Posted by: pollyusa | July 15, 2006 at 12:51
polly
I'll repeat something I said earlier in the week. Here's what I think the conversations included, based on earlier analysis and what Novak said this week.
That pretty much fits Novak's own claims. He still hasn't explained how he knew Wilson never worked for CIA (he claims he raised the Wilson question with Armitage that way). He hasn't explained who told him PLame was an operative. And his explanation for how he learned her name (he knew she was Valerie by July 8) doesn't hold up.
Posted by: emptywheel | July 15, 2006 at 13:23
Wilson's wife, who works for the office of nuclear non-proliferation [this NP detail didn't show up in the column, but that's what Novak says Armitage told him]
Novak had it in his 10/1/03 column. He said UGO told him Plame worked at the CIA in counterproliferation.
Ok, Novak is trying to play it like Rove barely talked about Wilson, fine he's a political animal. But if your breakdown on what Novak got from Rove is right, where did Rove get that information.
Who told Rove the details of the Wilson trip report, that it was an oral report, that Tenet probably didn't see it, that the CIA discounted the report, and that Wilson had gone to Africa on another trip for the CIA.
Also who told Novak this information that was in his 7/14/03 column.
Who claimed that Wilson's report was "forgotten by the time the president spoke"
Who told him that "Messages between Washington and the presidential entourage traveling in Africa hashed over the mission to Niger."
Novak has other sources that he has mentioned. He claims someone in the CIA told him that Plame "was brought home from foreign assignments in 1997, when Agency officials feared she had been "outed" by the traitor Aldrich Ames."
He also had this in his 10/1/03 colimn about another CIA source
Harlow did tell Novak that Plame was covered according to his 10/1/03 column.
Posted by: pollyusa | July 15, 2006 at 14:55
polly
But there is a very important distinction (one I make at greater length in that earlier column). Nonproliferation (I think, I'm working off Bolton testimony) is a department of CIA that no longer exists. It got folded into WINPAC, on the analytical side. So NP would make her an analyst, while CPD would make her a covert operative.
It is totally plausible for Rove to have that CIA report information (indeed, I'd be shocked if he did not) because Ari made the same kind of references in press conferences as early as July 9. Ari says what Rove tells him to, and he was basically trying to get the press to pressure for the declassification of the report.
As to Novak's other sources, his performance this week clearly says he had only three sources for his original column. So either he needs to revise that, or we can assume he spoke to
Fred Fleitzsomeone at CIA after it became clear they were in trouble. That's particularly important with the "analyst" reference, since it is a present tense "has been" and not a past tense "was." That is, all that CIA guy even says is that she has been an analyst since the time she got outed. Well, duh.Posted by: emptywheel | July 15, 2006 at 15:34
EW
Novak said that UGO told him that the counterproliferation section of the CIA had sent Wilson in his 10/1/03 column. I think his column has to be the most factual record of what UGO said. Novak would have his notes available when he was writing.
Novak also says in his column that Plame is an employee of the counterproliferation section at the CIA.
That he now says NP is likely the result of a sloppy memory. I also think his characterization of Harlow saying she worked in the office of WMD highly unlikely. Harlow would have been more precise.
Novak's grasp of the facts is pathetic at best, including the facts of his own story.
The CIA information given to Novak is beyond Wilson's trip report. And remember Rove was just on the political side at that time, what is he doing with classified documents from the CIA. It is clear that Novak and Rove had a lengthy conversation about Wilson with much classified information relayed.
Novak does have another source for the 10/1/03 column. The CIA source. It may well be that this new source was contacted after he knew he was in trouble. But remember Novak told Wilson taht he had a CIA source then took it back.
Posted by: pollyusa | July 15, 2006 at 16:56
polly
It's probably better if I just refer you back to my post, rather than recreate it here.
My point is that, Novak has changed his story in several ways. In doing so, he has virtually eliminated the IIPA leak from his column. I don't think that's a mistake. Novak's too shrewd to make that kind of mistake.
My suspicion is he pinned the CPD ID on CIA and Armitage in the past to throw suspicion off likely culprits, and now that he can't make those same accusations (because he'll be refuted), he simply removes it now.
Posted by: emptywheel | July 15, 2006 at 17:12
Novak was pathetic on MTP this morning. He was back peddling like mad. Pumpkinhead didn't challenge him on the difference between "her name" and "his wife" - that giving him the info of "his wife" was the same as exposing her.
Posted by: Glic | July 16, 2006 at 10:45