by emptywheel
Back in the idyllic days when Domestic Spying was (purportedly) limited to people playing Six Degrees of Osama bin Laden, the Administration had an excuse for its secrecy. "Don't tell the errorists-tay we're listening to their alls-cay." They could claim that, by keeping information about the program secret from its targets, we would net us some terrorists.
Oh sure, it was a canard. And the whole point was moot since Senator Shelby had already told the errorists-tay that we were listening to their phone alls-cay. But the logic at least existed. If terrorists know their calls are tapped, they will use alternative means to communicate and the program would become useless.
But there is, as far as I can figure, no such excuse for keeping the resurrected TIA program secret from American citizens. This is supposed to be, at least, simply a data mining and network analysis program. They may track my phone number, but they're not supposed to be tracking me or my conversations. And unless there are whole bunch more terrorists than I think there are, they're just going to be a few hundred data points in a database of millions of data points. They won't even rise to the level of statistical noise, not as terrorists anyway. (They may show up with the million other people who like to order a good falafel now and then--Bill O'Reilly, I'm looking at you.) So even now that the terrorists know about it, it's not going to incent them to change their behavior. (Though there might be a strange decline in business at falafel joints, with a subsequent increase in pizza orders.)
So I could be wrong. But if the program is really doing what the leakers say it's doing, there is no good counter-terrorism reason to keep it quiet.
There are, of course, a slew of other reasons to keep it secret:
- We'll all start suing our phone companies for violating laws that protect our privacy
- Congress defunded the first TIA in 2003, so any continuation of it is likely illegal
- The Administration can't make a compelling case that it needs to know where we order our take out, so it'd rather just not try
None of them good counter-terrorist reasons. All of them about the Administration trying to pull a fast one over its citizens.
But I'd warrant that won't stop the Administration from firing some other Kerry donor as a scapegoat for this leak.
On a related note, I just saw this story that the Justice Department has dropped their investigation into warrantless secret wiretapping by the NSA because -- get this -- it was too secret.
So basically if you're guilty of a cover-up and DoJ is investigating you, just cover it up some more. Because there's nothing they can do.
Under George Bush, Justice is not just blind but also deaf and lame, bound and gagged, beaten and broken.
Posted by: emptypockets | May 11, 2006 at 10:15
Since Congress defunded the program in '03 it would be interesting to see where replacement funding came from for this program. All in all, Spectre must be cringing over his defense of Bush as using "Good Faith".
Posted by: mainsailset | May 11, 2006 at 10:17
mainsailset
Actually, Congress defunded TIA, which included more than phone calls. So it may not be technically true that they defunded THIS program (though I'm sure Rummy's always willing to lend one or two of his black books to a good domestic spying cause). But I suspect you could make a compelling case that, since Congress defunded TIA, they expressed their intent they didn't want any such program.
In other news, Pat Roberts, Mr. Coverup himself, has called this program Big Brother. At what point does the Bush scandal get to be too much for people who have constituents to answer to?
Posted by: emptywheel | May 11, 2006 at 10:27
Oh, I'm wrong, it was Pat Robertson. Amazing what coffee can do for you in the morning.
Posted by: emptywheel | May 11, 2006 at 10:34
And unless there are whole bunch more terrorists than I think there are, they're just going to be a few hundred data points in a database of millions of data points. They won't even rise to the level of statistical noise, not as terrorists anyway.
I'd love to see one of the (I'm sure many) PowerPoint presentations in which some clown pitched this data-mining scheme as a way of finding terrorists. It's probably the same template they've been using for years in "National Missile Defense" pitches... just change a few words, and it's the same pitch.
-
Shooting a bullet out of the skyFinding a needle in the world's biggest haystack- May deter
rogue statesterrorists even if it doesn't work- Feasibility study = full-scale
R&D effortpilot program-
Incrediblyhuge boon to major contributors- Incidental benefits:
advanced radar, satellite, lasers, etc.toos in war on dissent, drugs, etc.Posted by: &y | May 11, 2006 at 11:04
&y
Oh, you forgot a new and improved one: "The terrorists only have to succeed once."
Posted by: emptywheel | May 11, 2006 at 11:09
So if I follow the latest logic…gee, we aren't doing anything illegal even though we aren't using the FISA system…and we are talking to "some" members of congress…but they can't tell you anything because the information is totally classified….and gee, we are ok with some investigative oversight…but unfortunately we can't grant security clearance to the investigators.
Gee…it looks to me like we have a dictator in charge. He breaks the rules, he rewrites the rules, he changes the rules, and he answers to no one.
I only hope we can soon finish exporting our "democracy" to Iraq and the rest of the oppressed world so they can have the same rights that we do.
more observations here:
www.thoughttheater.com
Posted by: Daniel DiRito | May 11, 2006 at 11:28
Everything changed on
Oct. 4, 1957...Dec. 28, 1984...Aug. 31, 1998... er, 9/11.Posted by: &y | May 11, 2006 at 11:34
Where is Guy Fawkes when you need him...
Posted by: John B. | May 11, 2006 at 11:47
Here's another way of thinking about this, that I came up with while walking the dog.
TIA was public. And TIA was a larger program (including more data) than this phone-based data mining program. Therefore, if TIA could be public, there is no reason this can't be.
Except that it violates a few laws and that we've already said no to it.
Posted by: emptywheel | May 11, 2006 at 12:18
"The terrorists only have to be right once."
This may be trivial, but whenever I hear Bush say this (and he's repeated it many times) I imagine retired WH speechwriters everywhere snickering about how thick Bush really is.
Over many occasions the WH hasn't made the correction that you did EW, to "succeed," each time he seems to say that the 911 attacks were "right."
Posted by: kim | May 11, 2006 at 12:40
Though the media has given it a pass, I cast my vote for another Republican scandal: the stonewalling of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence Phase II report on the manipulation of pre-war intelligence.
We frequently hear that Chairman Pat Roberts (R-KS) acts alone as Chairman. Roberts sets deadlines, breaks deadlines, blames the problems on Democrats, sets new deadlines, breaks them again. Republicans say it is Roberts' own prerogative to do as he pleases: we hear no criticism of Roberts from the seven other Republicans on the Committee, who have (collectively) the power to override Roberts and his tactics: Olympia Snowe (R-ME), Orrin Hatch (R-UT), Kit Bond (R-MO), Mike DeWine (R-OH), Trent Lott (R-MS), Chuck Hagel (R-NE), and Saxby Chambliss (R-GA).
Their silence is telling. Certainly Snowe is quick to mouth platitudes about her own "independence" from the Republican establishment. She rarely hesitates to alert the Maine press to her "independent" postures and opinions, often on tangential issues or points of order. To my eye it's all about image-building, part of maintaining a carefully crafted persona as an "orphan" in the Senate Republican establishment. (Snowe was in fact an orphan at age nine, and while I don't mean to belittle that tragedy, I do think it accounts for certain psychological strategies I've seen her employ time and again.)
But on the big picture, Snowe goosesteps right along with Bush, and you will hear Republican insiders quietly confess that Snowe is one of his most important allies: because her "independence" is treated by much of the media much the way Colin Powell's "independence" was treated in the run-up to Iraq. As for the war, Snowe strongly supported Bush's invasion and occupation, and says she still would support it regardless of whether the administration's WMD statements were correct. (Think about it: if that isn't an endorsement of a whitewash, what is?)
Mark my words, this is a Republican scandal, because the delay is precisely to spare Republicans responsibility or embarrassment. If a whitewash of the report can't be achieved (and there are many hints that Phase II simply can't blunt the fact that "Bush knew"), by all means delay, delay, delay....
Posted by: QuickSilver | May 11, 2006 at 15:52
QS
I was hoping the Dems on SSCI would have refused to vote on Hayden unless they got Phase II results. Only now it doesn't look like Hayden will make it even that far.
Posted by: emptywheel | May 11, 2006 at 15:57
They obviously have something very serious on Pat Roberts. On the order of what they have on Duke Cunningham, maybe even bigger. No other way to account for his spineless behavior. This faux "independence" is probably enough to same Ms Snowe, but I wonder about some of the others, like Chafee.
Posted by: Mimikatz | May 11, 2006 at 16:34
The domestic spying is also not going to paly well in the West, a serious miscalculation for Bush. Kansas probably isn't West enough (and Roberts isn't up for reelection) but I can see Burns, Kyl and even Ensign going down this fall. And if Webb wins, maybe even Allen in the East.
Posted by: Mimikatz | May 11, 2006 at 16:38
If they indeed are trying to track every phone call, that, by definition, has absolutely no practical reason for remaining secret. Political reasons...
f Webb wins, maybe even Allen [goes down] in the East
Be still my beating heart. And I know all about Webb (I even read his book). He is a libertarianish Reaganite. Aside from its being a Dem pickup, it would free Allen up to run for pres. You don't want to underestimate someone like Allen, but there's no percentage in over estimating him, either. He really is a dumbass. He would be great to run against in '08, or to focus the split in the GOP in the primaries.
Posted by: jonnybutter | May 11, 2006 at 17:18
close tag (SORRY- AGAIN)
Posted by: jonnybutter | May 11, 2006 at 17:19
Well, Lott is out there confirming the program is true (duh, we knew that). As well as saying we shouldn't know about it. You dumbass, it's TIA again. If we could know about TIA, then why not this?
I have mixed feelings about Allen. He is dumber than my dog (though my dog's pretty smart, even on Football). But we said similar things about Bush 8 years ago and look at us.
Posted by: emptywheel | May 11, 2006 at 18:45
TIA lives as Basketball. Shane Harris has been on this story for a while
Posted by: lukery | May 11, 2006 at 19:40
Thanks for the link, lukery.
Don't know if this IS TIA. But it's damn similar (that is, massive data mining). And if they could tell us about that in 2002, why not now?
Posted by: emptywheel | May 11, 2006 at 20:34
Here's Harris' original article in NatJournal called TIA Lives On
"The names of key projects were changed, apparently to conceal their identities, but their funding remained intact, often under the same contracts."
Good point re why they can't talk about it now. They can't talk about it for PR reasons, obviously, and it has nuthin' to do with reminding "The Terrorists"
Posted by: lukery | May 11, 2006 at 21:33
They lied about the existence of this program.
What proof do we have that they aren't "listening in"?
Posted by: desertwind | May 11, 2006 at 22:12
off-topic, but here's the Fitz/Libby May 5 transcript
Posted by: obsessed | May 12, 2006 at 02:47
Working on it obsessed. It'll be later this afternoon, I think. There's a ton in it.
Thanks for the link, though.
Posted by: emptywheel | May 12, 2006 at 10:58
After a quick read through of that transcript, I have to say that it sure sounds like Fleischer copped a plea to something. There is a discussion (pages 23-24) in the pdf of an individual who is the subject of a sealed affidavit by the defense. I'm pretty sure we know that is Fleischer.
Posted by: William Ockham | May 12, 2006 at 11:36