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May 18, 2006

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I'm aware of large programs to vaccinate poultry. It hadn't occurred to me to ask, why not vaccinate pigs? Possible?

The flip side of the panic label is the washout label: if we're spared this time, how to keep the 'lesson' of an avian flu near-miss from becoming a punchline like Y2K... and an excuse for complacency the next time there's a threat on the horizon. There may actually be something to learn from Bush &co. on this topic, as they make the lack of additional terrorist attacks seem almost as menacing as if there had been one ("you don't hear about the ones we stop... we have to be right every time they only have to get past us once...")

Dem,

"It is a low probability, high risk scenario."

The Global Risk Report from World Economic Forum 2006 ranks pandemic influenza as 'moderate likelihood' with 'highest impact'. It is also the ONLY risk with that ranking. http://tinyurl.com/p2e9k page 51.

Yes, the World Economic Forum does say that. in dfact, it made quitre a splash wehn it listed pandemic as the biggest threat to the global economy. It's the only report of its kind afaik that does so, however.

Please note the trackback, which I can not read. However, it is of note that Taiwan is not part of WHO and is excluded from data sharing. That's unfortunate, and without getting into the politics of it, some arrangement needs to happen, informal or otherwise.

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