by emptywheel
At the risk of exposing myself to James Wolcott's rapier prose, I'd like to, um, ask nicely to differ. Wolcott attributes Bush's inaction on global warming in Peak Oil to indifference.
The only explanation, apart from Bush's cognitive disability in facing reality, is that he sociopathically doesn't care about the coming calamity endangering the planet because he and his cronies will be financially prepared even as most Americans lose their standard of living.
There are so many reasons that Bush's name should be dragged through the dust of his post-presidency for the harm and disgrace his administration has inflicted, and so impeachable offenses for which he would prosecuted today if we had a Congress worthy of the Founders. His malign indifference to Peak Oil and global warming may be the greatest of his crimes, because it will lead to the misery and deaths of untold millions of people, animals, and natural resources.
Now, perhaps I'm conflating Bush and Cheney. But whoever's in charge is not indifferent. I think Bush and Cheney have got a deliberate plan, to use Peak Oil and global warming as a way to accrue more power. What else were they doing in those secret meetings at the beginning of the first term, if not planning what to do in light of increasing oil scarcity? Why else do they treat global warming science as a bigger state secret than a covert operative's identity, if not to prevent average citizens from understanding and mobilizing about the upcoming crisis? Peak Oil and global warming are worse than a ignored problems. They're regarded as an opportunity.
So while I agree that Bush and Cheney are confident that, "[they and their] cronies will be financially prepared even as most Americans lose their standard of living," I think it's worse than that. Grabbing hold of available reserves is one of the only ways to prevent the crash of the American dollar. It's about the only way to prevent China and India from surpassing the US in economic might. Preventing sustainability from becoming the new organizing principle of the globe will undercut all the EU's efforts to move in that direction itself.
And of course, ratcheting up the stakes for oil, not least by invading Iraq, has made Bush and Cheney's patrons even richer.
Ditto the early effects of global warming. Believe that global warming leads to stronger hurricanes? Well, that's fine, because it provides another opportunity to enrich your corporate cronies and theocratic intelligentsia. Recognize that global warming will lead to intense demand for fresh water? Hey, the cronies can sell water too!
This is one of the reasons I advocate the use of the term Neo-Feudalist, btw. I described all the economic destruction these guys seems comfortable with. But when you factor in the environmental insecurity as well, you're really going to see well-armed fortresses (like the one billionaire Richard Rainwater is building) and a lot of folks willing to do most anything to get in.
The response to both Peak Oil and global warming is obvious. Move away from globalization. Move away from the sprawl culture. Move away from industrial agriculture. Move away from disposable consumer culture. Depend on your neighbors rather than Big Oil.
But Bush and Cheney want to prevent that from happening, you see. They're strong when you're dependent and insecure. They're not indifferent. Nosiree. They're disgusting, immoral opportunists.
I'm with Wolcott here. With due respect, I think you're giving Bush too much credit. He simply doesn't feel, he doesn't think, he doesn't wonder, and he doesn't care.
Cheney is a somewhat different case, and you're right to note the danger of conflating the two. It's probably fair to say that he is being both immoral and opportunistic in seizing upon Bush's particular quirks of (if you will) character, in order to enrich and empower himself and his cronies. But at the same time, I think he is largely sincere in his denial of the the reality of global warming, just as Holocaust deniers are simultaneously conniving, immoral, hateful and yet oddly sincere in their own opinions, which they devoutly maintain against all evidence and, indeed, all elemental human decency.
Cheney is more odious, personally, than Bush. And yet Bush deserves to be blamed first and foremost for the calamities his administration has unleashed upon the Earth.
Posted by: wyneken | March 23, 2006 at 16:59
Bush may be indifferent through inability to grasp a big idea.
I don't buy it with Cheney. The guys at the top of the oil pyramid have had access to the peak oil data for at least a decade - knowing even before the recent backtracking about some country's reserves - and I think they have indeed been planning for inflated prices for some time. They're using some of those obscene profits to become alternative energy producers themselves - once oil becomes to dear to burn the way we've been burning it.
One can argue, I suppose, that Cheney really does believe, but count me unpersuaded. The guy is just a liar, whether it's small stuff or large.
Most recently, he made this ludicrous claim in an interview with Bob Schieffer:
That ain't the way I remember it.
Posted by: Meteor Blades | March 23, 2006 at 17:37
I agree completely with this as far as the opportunistic oligarchs. Including the phrase "neo-feudalism." The model these guys look at isn't even the Gilded Age, it is the ante-bellum South. Plantations and serfs. Cheney is even looking back to Sparta. They all know what they are doing.
Emptywheel and the people at BOPNews are the only ones talking about this is this manner. The only objection I might have is that, besides the evil at the top, I am not sure the middle isn't complicit. No one is forcing people to buy SUV's and 3000 sq ft McMansions in the exurbs.
"The response to both Peak Oil and global warming is obvious. Move away from globalization. Move away from the sprawl culture. Move away from industrial agriculture. Move away from disposable consumer culture. Depend on your neighbors rather than Big Oil."
Which candidate runs for President on that platform?
Posted by: bob mcmanus | March 23, 2006 at 17:49
I'm with you 110%, Emptywheel, I reckon the William Occham (the dead one!) would be, too. It's staring you in the face.
(Woolcot may be right in that George doesn't really know or care, but in focusing on the figureheads, he is missing the main game.)
Besides, if you (and me and others) can see the advantages to the elite in doing this, then they can, too. And there is no question as to whether they would do it.
In short, they have motivation, opportunity and ability to do it.
Game,Set and Match. Thank you linesmen, thank you ballboys.
I think something that people don't appreciate is that behind individuals like George and Dick (and even poor old Ariel) is a generational power that has and does take a long view.
Posted by: Griffon | March 23, 2006 at 18:12
Why do you suddenly remember what you were going to write the moment you press Send?
It's "creative destructon" as Michael Ledeen calls it.
One of the Masonic mottos is "Order out of Chaos" i.e. our order coming out of our imposed chaos.
Posted by: Griffon | March 23, 2006 at 18:16
bob mcmanus
You're right. There's the middle that willingly buys those monstrosities. (Interesting to note that China just slapped a big tax on cars with 2 liter engines. So the mega luxury SUV I saw close last year this time will go for $120,000 rather than $100,000.)
But the middle is going to come screeching to a halt soon, as they use up the last bit of money from their refi. Then they might think about something more efficient. Though, by then, they'll owe too much on their current car to trade in.
Posted by: emptywheel | March 23, 2006 at 18:28
I think there were reports that Cheney had actually talked about Peak Oil before or early in the Bush administration. Don't have a reference handy.
I can't help thinking: what would CheneyCo do if they believed that Saudi oil production was going to crash. And they had access to the relevant intelligence even before they were [s]elected (Bush family, Poppy's briefings). Would they try to grab the next swing producer? Take the neocons along for the ride to provide ideological cover and motor on to kick Saddam's ass? Hey maybe the whole "grab Baghdad with meager troops and insanely long supply lines" was a feint that happened to work? If it hadn't, well, some grunts lost but a good reason to bunker down in the oilpatch around Basra...
OK, I'll go check my meds now.
Posted by: Alopex Lagopus | March 23, 2006 at 18:53
By the time global warming, the bird flu and peak oil all kick in, there will be no one left but Bush & Cheney & the favored few and their families living in tunnels under ground with no one to serve them or do their bidding. I wonder if they have enough food & water stored for the rest of their lives. All the rest of us will be long gone (or in hiding) I suspect. And their power grab will be all for naught.
Posted by: dianne dobbs | March 23, 2006 at 19:53
Alopex
Would they try to grab the next swing producer?
Don't you mean the next two swing producers?
Posted by: emptywheel | March 23, 2006 at 20:04
General John Abizaid (who is known to the Turkish public as "the Crazy Arab") has conceded we are in Iraq to protect oil interests. "Ultimately it comes down to the free flow of goods and resources on which the prosperity of our own nation and everybody else in the world depend," he recently told the House of Representatives. Abizaid refused to rule out permanent U.S. bases in the country.
I no longer understand why there is any debate about why we "really" went to war in Iraq, and why we are now apparently going to war with Iran. Of course it's about the oil. When Rumsfeld (and others) said the war would pay for itself, he was speaking truthfully of his geopolitical ambitions. And now we are all paying for them.
Posted by: QuickSilver | March 23, 2006 at 21:43
e-w!
e-w!
e-w!
…
Harumph, harumph, sorry, but I've felt like I was in the wilderness on the active malignity angle literally for years. Of late, there are some spots on the horizon that look suspiciously like converts headed my way. How about both malign and immoral, whatever else?
and btw, he may be addled much of the time, but folks shouldn't overbuy on indifference, at least when it comes to the goals that matter to him. Remember, as his father's enforcer he spent a lot of time looking for soft spots and opportunities to exploit them. I suspect he can do this quite well on a big stage as well, although maybe with some tutoring. What he assuredly cannot or will not do, that keeps him looking so stupid, is master the details that might give even a thorough cynic pause on some of these designs, like the extent to which industry is needed to keep his luxuries going. What profit to a man that he have a doctor of philosophy to wipe his ass, if the ass-wipes are pinecones? The news this week on climate change is beginning to sound as if even large stores of cash, within many of our lifetimes, won't buy what we now think they can. But this is just a detail to our boy, as to his master planners.
Posted by: prostratedragon | March 24, 2006 at 04:47
Y'all might want to get a little familiar with narcissistic personality disorder. W clearly has it, Cheney seems like a more familiar form of opportunist.
Posted by: Melanie | March 24, 2006 at 09:23
What links George and Dick is that they are of a class, one identified by FDR, viz., "Economic Royalists" and "malefactors of great wealth."
Unfortunately, I'm afraid America will have to actually experience another "Great Depression" type situation before the people will summon the will to do something serious about our latest group of planet rapists.
BTW, for a view of what things might be like 20-odd years in the future, I suggest A Friend of the Earth by T.C. Boyle. Love among the climatological ruins. I do fear for the future happiness of my 6 year-old daughter.
Posted by: semiot | March 24, 2006 at 10:02
Cheney knows, for sure, and I buy the theory that the Iraq War is his opportunistic way of trying to nail down the Last of the Oil. He is the ultra-opportunist.
Bush? Hard to say. His father knew, but he drank his way through those years, didn't he?
What I am waiting for is the industries that will be hurt by global warming, like Insurance, to weigh in. Toyota is going to eat our lunch.
Posted by: Mimiaktz | March 24, 2006 at 13:18
Doesn't anyone remember? Cheney chose himself to be VP. At the time, he claimed that the only other qualified people turned the job down, forcing him to step up (grudgingly) himself. Humbly, of course.
"In the April 2000, Cheney agreed to chair then-Gov. George W. Bush's vice-presidential selection committee. In May, he assured Halliburton stockholders that he had no intentions of leaving his position for another Bush administration."
Posted by: seepeesate | March 24, 2006 at 14:18
On the other hand, maybe we are giving Cheney too much credit for lnowiung what he's doing. Seems he was a pretty bad CEO at Halliburton.
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Posted by: Damn | April 03, 2006 at 17:45