On Board the Globalization Express

by emptywheel

Want to catch a view of globalization from the manager's perspective? Fly business class on Northwest Airlines flight 11 from Detroit to Narita. Northwest is the biggest domestic carrier in Asia, and this flight connects their two big "world" hubs. Which means many of the men and women busy outsourcing production and finding new suppliers in Asia are all stuck together on a 13 hour flight well-lubricated by champagne and Northwest's pod-like business class seats. I've taken this route a few times in the last couple of months and find it a fascinating picture of all the contradictions of globalization.

Have you ever driven across the US and tried to to decipher who is growing what kind of food where. Where does my lettuce come from? Are those beans in the field? What kind of fruit tree is that? Well, it’s kind of the same on this flight. Just by listening to people, you discover where all the bits and pieces of the things in our daily life come from. My last flight, for example, provided an extensive lesson of where the fabrics used to line child car seats come from: Ningbo. Shanghai. Huangzhou. Soon, Vietnam. Another time, it was a set of components for automobiles. Another, some small steel components for tractors. Take this flight, and the entire map of China becomes an imagined collection of sources for the banal pieces that together make up your daily life.

And of course, the whole thing is built on a fundamental lack of understanding. The buyer who spent about 4 months a year in China? Doesn’t speak Mandarin, not a word. Wishes his suppliers spoke more English. Avoids staying in towns that have only Chinese hotels, the kind of hotel, I’ve discovered, that might be perfectly clean and comfortable but feels a little dicey because of what appear to be anti-gonorrhea wipes sold in the bathrooms. With poorly-translated labels—under the label “price, 12 Yuan” they say, “Uncomplimentary.”

The thing is, the people flying around the globe to buy their child-seat fabrics are decent folks. There was the guy I sat next to in November, just a few weeks after the election. I made an analogy between China’s one-party state and Brazil’s gangs and democracy. And in a gloomy tone, he jumped immediately to our own one-party state in the US. (In fact, I’ll be damned if I don’t keep sitting next to moderate Democrats. Are all the Republicans flying steerage?? Or do they have their own planes?) This was a guy with the maturity to know the consolidation of the GOP was terrible for our country, but a fundamental naiveté about how this one-party consolidation took place. He put aside his trade journals and listened, rapt, to learn about the election he basically missed while he was out of the country.

Where they’re particularly decent—but troubled and troublesome—is in their relationship to outsourcing. Since I start in Detroit, I often talk to or hear people talking about finding new suppliers in China. Almost to a one, they talk about what a shame it is that all the jobs are going to Asia. Here’s the thing. These people are often the managers making the decisions to outsource these jobs. They’re the ones who, ostensibly, are in the power positions in their companies and industries. But talking to them, you hear the same tone of utter impotence I hear, as well, from workers in manufacturing industries that are shutting down. Who’s driving this bus? If only these folks would collectively realize that if they don’t refuse to stop the process, no one will.

Some of them, of course, really are helpless to do anything about the globalization. I recall distinctly the faces of two engineers who had been busy outsourcing their South Carolina plant’s work to China. We were talking about the wages of the people who we were working with (in my case, about $600 a month for a national management position and about $200 a month for a sales position). Then, with a shocked face, one of these guys explained that the engineers in the new factory didn’t have cars. “They don’t make enough money to buy a car, they just ride bikes.” His face revealed the shock of someone who didn’t realize what it meant to outsource his factory until he realized that his counterparts in China couldn’t even buy what most engineers in the US would consider a bare necessity. It’s the bicycles, I think, that really got to these guys. How can an American engineer compete against people who don’t drive cars? His plant was flying him Business Class on 24-hour plane flight so he could outsource jobs to guys without cars.

(And then there are people like me, who use different rationalizations. My job is to help a manufacturing company compete better in China, turn the Chinese into budding durable good consumers. So I’m saving jobs, not outsourcing them, I say to myself. My rationalization serves to hide the way my activities directly connect with the increasing demand for oil which connects to an underlying instability in the world which connects to the fragility of the US dollar and a potential crash. We’re all very busy rationalizing on the globalization express.)

But here’s the thing that really struck me, this time, that seemed blogworthy—and bloglike, in its own way. As omnipresent as the glasses of champagne are the free business papers. A whole bookshelf of Financial Times and Wall Street Journals in the business lounge before you board, a cart of newspapers, in three different languages, waiting when you board the plane. And so the more-realistic than the “popular press” business headlines are part of the background noise just like the glow from the personalized entertainments systems.

But this week, when I was flying, the headlines all should have punctured the bubble we were flying in. The International Energy Agency says oil is in short supply, recommends conservation. The second highest monthly trade deficit ever. Oil approaches record price. The falling dollar. Trade gap widens. China is muscling private oil drillers in its country. The dollar continues to fall against the Euro. Imports of cotton trousers up 1000%. The headlines are insistent. Repetitive.

Here we were, burning up jet fuel so we could arrange to ship goods all the way around the world to a bunch of people, an entire country, who can’t or won’t pay their debts. But the words kept streaming by. THIS FLIGHT CAN’T GO ON ANY LONGER. GET OFF THE PLANE, IT’S GOING TO CRASH, the newspaper headlines might as well have said.

But still, even with that as background noise, I’d hear the child-like awe of another person making his first trip to China, answered by an old hand, offering to show him the ropes. There’s always this tremendous excitement in those voices, the middle-aged man who can’t imagine what awaits in this new frontier.

Comments

[Kagro X]

Wow, great story!

Although, I thought the "fundamental lack of understanding" was going to be on the part of the Chinese, as in, "You mean you would've paid more for this?"

If we could just convince the Chinese that it was worth it to them to have their instructions written in proper English, we could make a small dent in that trade deficit with consulting fees.

[Hprof]

Many thanks for a wonderful essay. Among many great lines, this one stood out for me:

Who’s driving this bus? If only these folks would collectively realize that if they don’t refuse to stop the process, no one will.

It's the collectively there that's key--individually, yes, they're impotent to change this; but collectively--in concert with one another, and with like-minded folks who've never set foot on the globalization express--they have the power to change it.

Or alternately, as you point out, we can all just wait for our financial house of cards to tumble, and (to mix metaphors) that should throw a mean monkey wrench into the gears.

[Alumbrados]

Something you might find interesting is that I work for a small company, there are only three of us, that engineers equipment. We have outsourced some parts to China, but they are very simple and really only an advantage as a result of lower material costs (China is buying up all of the steel, which makes it more expensive here). However, on more complex parts that require "talented" machinists, American prices are much better. I think part of it is the Chinese "Entrepeneurs" are really marking up their product to make a "killing", but many parts are cheaper to manufacture here, so we do. I should point out, we are somewhat specialized and build in low production quantities, maybe two to four machines a year.

We also looked at India for engineering, such that we would design the machine and have them make the detail drawings, but none of the companies would do that. The Inidans would only engineer a machine if they literally "Engineered" and designed it. They aren't seeking work, they are seeking "knowledge capital." Needless to say, we didn't have them do anything because we weren't interested in creating someone to compete against us. However, I have to wonder how many companies have gone that route as a result of maximizing share holder profits?

I think something that would be wise for the Democrats to come up with would be a "document" which spells out "Share Holder" responsibilities to America. It would seem the only responsibility they really held before was to pay their taxes, but even that seems dubious under the present administration. As America kneels before the most powerful religion within it's borders, Capitalism, someone needs to real it in before it destroys America. The people who hold the capital are the ones driving the bus and they aren't beholden to anyone. They and their high priests (Fed Chairman) have failed miserably in the context of an "enlightened" civil society. This must change, for the future of the nation and the world.

[Freder Frederson]

I worked for Sprint. A couple years ago Sprint decided to outsource much of their IT work to India. The aim was to save $30 million a year in IT costs. Assurances were made that only low level work would be outsourced. That the "secret sauce" as our CIO called it, would never be outsourced. Somehow, the real knowledge work, the cutting edge, interesting work would stay in house while the grunt coding work would be done in India. Now this may be fine in theory but is completely unworkable in practice. Because, as anyone who has the least bit of knowledge about the IT industry (and our CIO did, so he was most assuredly blowing smoke up our asses) the people who do the high-level work need to do grunt level work before they are able to do the cutting edge work. By outsourcing the low-level work Sprint was destroying its ability to produce competent IT workers three to five years down the road. They must know this and the long term plan must be to turn the entire IT program over to subcontractors in India.

[emptywheel]

Re: Understanding. Actually, the Chinese do pay more for things, at least the stuff I'm involved in. It's a consumer good, mostly the wealthy are buying, and credit is out there. So they're paying the same amount in dollars--or more--for our goods than Americans are. And the profits, for my American company, a MUCH higher here, because they're selling Chinese labor for the same amount that they sell American labor. That said, the Chinese are more likely to understand, because they live in a world where they have to work in two cultures. For the most part, the Americans I see here are still working only in American culture.

Re: the costs of outsourcing. My brother until recently worked managed IT consulting for an Israeli company that sold software for call centers. He said companies had found that outsourcing their call centers wasn't necessarily profitable. There were so many inherent management problems that they needed to invest in India in ways they didn't need to invest here.

But then that's why they everyone needs to stop together. The compulson, for so many people, comes from the myth about globalization (and also comes from the assumption of cheap oil, which ain't going to last), not necessarily a real cost-benefit analysis.

[idook]

Freder, good point. I have to wonder if the CIO really understood the connection (did s/he have experience in the trenches, or just an MBA?). Of course, 3-5 years in the future, the CIO will be in another company and doesn't care. There are bonuses to be had *now*.

I'm witnessing the beginning transfer of jobs in a network operations center myself. First they fired the employees, then hired them back as contractors. They have created rigid guidelines for the NOC monkeys to follow, initiative is silently discouraged. They are opening a place in India, ostensibly so the NOC can "follow the sun". Of course, "this will not affect" the second and third level personnel. Yeah right.

[Kagro X]

Oh. I meant that I thought the Chinese were misunderstaning how much we used to be willing to pay Americans to do the same work.

[emptywheel]

Ah. I see. I don't think they care much. At least in my admittedly limited interaction with small businessmen here says they're primarily interested in paying their employees as little as they can get away with, just like American businessmen.

[Jérôme]

Nice post. Thanks. Nothing smart to add at this point...
China does seem to pop up a lot in blog posts, papers and conversations these days...

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