Bush truly has united the American people--united them in opposition.
Check this link to a map (h/t to dreaminonempty at Open Left) that shows Bush's popularity state by state. There is only one state where Bush enjoys an approval rating over 50%, and that is Utah, with two (Idaho and Wyoming) where it is 46-50%. It is 35% or below in every populous state except Texas. His popularity in New England is so low that these states are green not blue, from 14% in New Hampshire (bye bye, John Sununu) to 20% in Maine. And some of these polls are months old, while Bush's popularity has tanked over the last 6 months.
The post is long, and correlates Bush's popularity plus fundrasing differentials with electoral success in the 2006 midterms. But it's worth reading. The gist of it is unmistakeable. If the Dems' lead in fundraising and infrastructure continues, it is hard to imagine any Demcratic Senate or House seat being vulnerable, and it is within the realm of possibility that the Dems could take up to 8, even 10 Senate seats (AK, CO, ME, MN, NC, NH, NM, OR, TX, VA , maybe even, with the right candidate, if there is one, KS, KY, or OK). And another 20 plus House seats--from AZ, CA, FL, IL, NM, NY, OH, PA, and other states that are in the 35 and below zone, and even some from the blue areas of NC and VA.
And I'm pleased to see that it vindicates the idea of spreading money around, especially early money, to make many more seats competitive, instead of concentrating on a few "target" races that quickly become satruated, ignoring other seats until it is almost or is too late. It appears to take half as much as the GOP and at least $500,000 to be within the victory margin, but lots of money did not guarantee success--just the opposite. Several challengers who reached parity or outspent incumbents lost--in CT-04, NM-01 and PA-06, for example, and some with between one tenth and one half as much won.
Past performance is no guarantee of future success, but there is much more in these figures to hearten Democrats than Republicans. And it makes it all the more necessary for Dems in Congress to stand up to Bush and not cave in to some chimera of "bipartisanship" when a generational victory is with our grasp.