From the new NBC/WSJ poll:
Public support for Republicans' control of the U.S. Congress has eroded to its lowest point since the party took over 12 years ago. And with just 19 days until the midterm elections, both President George W. Bush and his party are in worse shape with voters than Democrats were in the October before they lost their House and Senate majorities in 1994.
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News Poll shows that voters' approval of Congress has fallen to 16% from 20% since early September, while disapproval has risen to 75% from 65%. That 16% approval statistically matches Congress's lowest point in the 17 years the Journal and NBC have polled, set in April 1992 at the height of a congressional scandal involving members' overdrafts from their House bank.
Every new story, be it about Ney, Cunningham, Hastert, how bad the Iraq civil war is going, or simply newest poll discussion is another day of not focusing on GOP talking points, none of which people really care about. How much money has the GOP spent on "terra and taxes" commercials and what good have they done?
By 52% to 37%, voters say they want Democrats rather than Republicans to control Congress after the Nov. 7 election. That wide 15-point Democratic advantage is another record in the history of the Journal/NBC poll.
Also, the result marks the first time that voters' preference for one party has exceeded 50%. In October 1994, just before voters ousted Democrats' majorities, they said they preferred a Republican-controlled Congress by a six-point margin, 44% to 38%. Back then, voters were split over President Bill Clinton, with 46% approving of his performance and 45% disapproving. Mr. Bush's job-approval rating, which had crept up to 42% in early September, has fallen back to 38%. A 57% majority disapproves of his performance.
There's trouble there for the GOP, and all the fake confidence ginned up by the WH can't hide the sweat behind closed doors.
Let the warnings about complacency, false assumptions and overconfidence ring out. After all, polls don't win elections, field and money does. But while we debate those things, the polls continue to set records in terms of rejection of the GOP and their agenda and performance. As a famous President once said,
"There's an old saying in Tennessee -- I know it's in Texas, probably in Tennessee -- that says, fool me once, shame on -- shame on you. Fool me -- you can't get fooled again."
The country feels the same way.