Iraq: Civil War, Downward Spiral
by DemFromCT
It takes a lot to break through the Iraq non-reporting these days. Bob Woodruff's career-ending injury that nobody talks about any more (ABC insists he'll be back, but none other than Geraldo suggests ABC be 'realistic') casts a pall on the reporting no matter what they try and say. But the insurgents found a way to break through the reporting miasma. As the Times' (UK) Foreign editor puts it:
IS IRAQ now in a civil war? Jack Straw says not.
The Foreign Secretary, who had been in Baghdad barely a day earlier, said the bomb that pulverised Samarra’s golden dome yesterday was the work of a few terrorists and was condemned by most Iraqis.
That is, by now, a stock response. We have heard it every time that violence jerks the country backwards from the tattered remains of the US vision of its future. Yesterday it seemed as if Iraq had been blasted back hundreds of years.
Yet Straw has half a point. For all the quibbling about when exactly to award Iraq the label of “civil war”, it is fair to say that if you’re in one, you know it. The violence makes daily life impossible. Everyone is on one side or the other. Iraq is not yet there.
But where Straw’s remark is too blithe is that it would not take much to get there. Yesterday’s blast points the way. Sunni bombers, setting out to destroy one of the most sacred shrines for Shias, aimed to spark a sectarian war. If they do it again on other sites, it is easy to see how they would grab their prize.
The reprisals have already started. From Juan Cole:
The hardline Shiite Mahdi Army has come out of Sadr City and is all over Baghdad. They are clashing with Sunnis in Basra.
Sunni leader Tariq al- Hashimi threatened reprisals for reprisal killings.
Abdul Aziz al-Hakim blamed the US for holding back the Badr Corps.
Grand Ayatollah Sistani called for nonviolent street protests that he must know won't be nonviolent.
Iran is blaming Bush and the Israelis, which is ridiculous but already widely believed in Iraq and Iran.
The threat of terrorism and attacks on Americans just went way up.
The idea that George Bush has any idea what the hell he's doing just went way down. The two major issues for American continue to be iraq and national security. The port fiasco summarizes the hit Bush is taking on national security (even Republicans are running from him on this one) and Iraq, alas, speaks for itself.
When people compare the Bush Admin to the Mafia, I've usually agreed that it acts like the Mafia, what with omerta, destroying its enemies, and the secrecy thing.
But when I think about Iraq, and esp. when I think about Iraq in context with the Bush's Admin's other spectacular failures (Katrina, the Rx Drug "Benefit," and now, the UAE imbroglio) I wonder if comparisons to the Mafia aren't spot-on - not just in methodology, but in intent.
The Mafia exists to protect and enrich the Mafia. If you're a member of the Families, your interests are paramount. Anyone else, everyone else, is merely either an opponent/competitor/enemy - or a mark to be fleeced. The social consequences of "business" - widespread drug addiction, economic corruption, rising crime, degradation of young people in prostitution - are utterly irrelevant, so long as your own families aren't touched by them.
That is exactly how the Bushies operate. Every policy that we consider a failure has enriched the Bushes and their cronies, and given Bush more power to enrich them some more and protect them from the consequences. None of the destruction, corruption, and despair has touched them or their families.
It is very hard to imagine any Administration staffed by people with so much previous experience being as inept as the Bush Admin seems to be. It's very hard to imagine anyone could accidentally be so wrong so often, with such ruinous results.
It makes one - at least, it makes me - wonder if those failures aren't failures at all. Maybe things have worked out exactly as Bush & Co. intended them to, wanted them to. Maybe none of it was accidental.
I keep thinking of what the people who invested their lives in fighting the Mob used to say, and what members of the Mob itself used to say: that the Mafia was engaged in a very long-term strategy, to slowly take over the centers of political and economic influence, until it had so blended in with the establishment that it had become the establishment. Politicians and corporations would be groomed over time, until it wasn't a matter of identifying mobsters by their surnames or their ethnic affiliations: there would be a commonality of interests, of concentrating on a few individuals or insular groups who wanted the same thing and could be absorbed into the instrumentality. It would simply be a matter of the Mafia's long-range planning becoming the national political and economic agenda, to the point where no one questioned it.
The mob started buying politicians in the 1950s. It started seriously affecting US foriegn policy in the 1950s, in Cuba and Central America. It established important connections with the WASP establishment in the 1950s.
That was half a century ago.
I wonder if the Bush Admin isn't the apotheosis of that long-range plan.
Posted by: CaseyL | February 22, 2006 at 21:50
So it's George Bush as Michael Corleone? Is the Mafia an alternative to Emptywheel's feudalism analogy?
I do think that very experienced people can be very, very wrong (Cheney). They can be blinded. Hubris. Bush likes all the imperial trappings. Iraq has fgone wrong, if the idea was to get US control over the oil. We are on the verge of being booted out (or at lease confined to our bases with no other military presence, it sounds like. And there is less oil coming out of Iraq than under Saddam. I don't think they planned it this way. I think they are incompetent, insular, overly secretive and disdainful of expertise, and it is coming back to bite them.
Posted by: Mimikatz | February 22, 2006 at 22:17
I am old enough to remember Life magazine and Look magazine. Every week, more photos of Vietnam.
Journalist routinely jumping on choppers to the firefight.
Pictures made it real, and inescapable. Pictures and the draft.
In those arrogant times, I suppose journalism was allowed because the Establishment expected good news, eventually, and wanted a witness/propaganda for back home. That and the traditions left over from WWII, I guess.
For gwb and crowd, the lessons of Vietnam appear to be to make sure our only access to Iraq is studio reports from carefully selected stooges
I'm not sure why the media plays along
I suppose I could guess. But where is the discussion of this?
Why has our media so completely failed?
It was not a great institution in the 60s. But this?
Posted by: jwp | February 22, 2006 at 22:17
I believe the media sees themselves as part of the war effort. Misguided, that, and a horrible mistake.
Posted by: DemFromCT | February 22, 2006 at 22:30
DCT
the primary problem facing the united states right now is
the instabilty of the presidency,
the instability of its executive arm of government.
it's not "iraq" or "national security" (as that is conventionally understood).
the bush executive is as unstable
as unstable right now as any executive branch in american history has been since reconstruction.
there is lots of web log world talk about congressional races,
lots of teeveee jokes about the vice-president's lack of character,
lots of columnar doubt about whether the president knows what is being done in his name.
but all that angst must be placed in the context of the fact that
this is an extremely powerful government, economically and militarily.
this government can wreck havoc on others or
on its people and itself,
if not properly piloted.
right now,
it is an ocean liner missing
both pilot and captain.
the only "leader" in this government now is the little homunculus, karl rove, working down in the boiler room stoking the fires of retribution and contention.
you can't pilot from the boiler room.
2001-2006:FIVE WASTED YEARS.
Posted by: orionATl | February 22, 2006 at 22:36
I've always thought that Iran was the prize in the skies. Bushit & Bigtime Dick and their NeoConJob posse have ringed Iran with US bases.
To the north, to the west with Afganistan, to the east in Iraq, and the south with Diego Garcia etc.
It's surrounded, big surprise.
Bushit Co. however 'shot their wad' of lies on Iraq's WMD and ohh Al-Quada is the same as Saddam horseshit.
The credibility of the WH is mighty low right now.
Probably won't stop them from trumping up an attack on Iran.
Unlike Iraq however, Iran will really bite back.
The NeoConJobs real agenda IMHO is to create a backdrop of permanent global instability, so they can wage 'endless war profits'.
Some have suggested we call them Feudalist or Monarchist or the tried and true Fascists, but in fact, they are not political at all, they are simply low-rent gangsters, punks with better suits.
Their MO is simply to steal and call the shots. They know the US public is as smart as a sack of hammers and that as the Romans knew for centuries, just give the unwashed masses bread and circus (or the modern equivalent= Cheetos and 'Reality TV")and you can lead them around like pigs with a ring in their noses.
(the ring in the nose thing really works well, the guy at the coffee house I go to, working for sub-minimun wage, who made my java has a ring in his nose. He's ready to go.)
The NeoConJobs are not political, they are just the latest incarnation of 'organized crime', nothing more.
Posted by: Gentleman Jim | February 23, 2006 at 08:41
What has been obvious for years, and some are only now beginning to realize, is that Bush and his cronies are not at all capable of governing this country, especially at this critical time in history. Their one constant has been their overreach for power in every facet of our government and our lives. In the unlikely event the regressives lose their majority, there is presently no one in the opposition who can miraculously turn things around in time to avoid a total disaster, and a miracle is what will be needed.
Posted by: Sally | February 23, 2006 at 08:51
In response to the bombing of the al-Askariya shrine in Samarra, President Bush issued an eloquent statement:
Is it inconceivable that while addressing his fellow Americans after September 11, 2001, Bush could have expressed a similar sentiment? (more...)Posted by: Paul Woodward | February 23, 2006 at 09:00
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